US Elections Key: Bitcoin at $90K or $40K?

US Elections Key: Bitcoin at $90K or $40K?

Reinout te Brake | 10 Oct 2024 00:00 UTC

The Impact of the U.S. Elections on Bitcoin Price Prediction

Analysts at Bernstein have recently released a forecast predicting the potential impact of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on Bitcoin price. According to their analysis, if former president Donald Trump emerges victorious, Bitcoin could see a Surge to new all-time highs, reaching between $80,000 and $90,000. However, if Vice President Kamala Harris wins, BTC risks falling to $40,000.

Bitcoin Price Forecast Amid U.S. Elections

The prediction from Bernstein comes amidst widening Odds in favor of Trump as shown by Polymarket, suggesting a potential Win for the former president. The analysts at Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, Sanskar Chindalia, and Mahika Sapra, believe that Trump's pro-Crypto stance could provide a significant boost to Bitcoin and the broader Cryptocurrency Market.

  • Trump's acceptance of Cryptocurrency donations and plans to promote the U.S. as a global hub for Bitcoin Mining have instilled optimism among investors.
  • Proposals such as appointing a Crypto-friendly SEC chair and establishing a national BTC reserve have further fueled positive sentiment towards Bitcoin.

On the other hand, VP Harris has not been as vocal about cryptocurrency-related issues during her campaign. While she expressed support for Crypto businesses and Blockchain Technology, her Policies are perceived as less favorable for the market compared to Trump's approach.

Harris Win Deemed as Doom for Crypto Market

If Harris were to win the election, Bernstein analysts suggest that Bitcoin price could face a near-term decline, potentially dropping to the $40,000 range. Despite these short-term concerns, the analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, citing factors like low interest rates and rising fiscal deficits.

  • The analysts expect the market to react to shifting election odds, with a more positive sentiment if Trump's chances of winning increase.
  • Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) are projected to remain range-bound until after the election, when the regulatory landscape may become clearer.

As the U.S. election date approaches, Bitcoin investors are keeping a close eye on the potential outcomes and how they may impact the cryptocurrency market as a whole. The fate of the crypto industry hangs in the balance as voters head to the polls on November 5.

Conclusion

Analysts are closely monitoring the U.S. presidential election and its potential impact on Bitcoin price, with projections indicating a significant movement depending on the election outcome. While a Trump victory could propel BTC to new highs, a win for Harris may lead to a temporary dip in price.

Investors are advised to stay informed and cautious in the coming weeks leading up to the election, as market dynamics are expected to shift based on political developments. The crypto industry awaits the election results with anticipation, as the future trajectory of Bitcoin and altcoins hangs in the balance.

Stay tuned for further updates on how the U.S. elections may influence the cryptocurrency market.

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